Who will win New York’s most competitive House contests?

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Who will win New York’s most competitive House contests?

Democrats could win back the lower house of Congress. Weigh in on the local races that could make the difference.
October 29, 2018

After all the twists and turns in this topsy-turvy election season, the big day is almost here. And one of the biggest questions is this: Who will come away with control of the House of Representatives?

Democrats hope they can pick up enough seats on Election Day to have a seat at the table in Washington, D.C., while Republicans hope they can hold onto both houses of Congress.

We’ve been tracking the most competitive House races in New York, which you can read about here. Now, we’re asking our readers to weigh in on the 10 contests that are in play.


 

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 1

Lee Zeldin (incumbent) vs. Perry Gershon

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Lee Zeldin and Perry Gershon
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Lee Zeldin and Perry Gershon
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Lee Zeldin and Perry Gershon
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Lee Zeldin and Perry Gershon
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Perry Gershon for Congress

City & State rating: Likely Republican

Long Island’s Suffolk County is still solidly Trump country, and Rep. Lee Zeldin, one of the president’s earliest and most ardent establishment backers, is touting that support as one of the key pillars of his campaign. The Republican is facing Democrat Perry Gershon, who is on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 2

Pete King (incumbent) vs. Liuba Grechen Shirley

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Pete King and Liuba Grechen Shirley
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Pete King and Liuba Grechen Shirley
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Pete King and Liuba Grechen Shirley
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Pete King and Liuba Grechen Shirley
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Liuba Grechen Shirley for Congress

City & State ratingLikely Republican

Rep. Pete King’s district has long been considered safely Republican, but the Democrats’ strength appears to be growing in the age of Trump, and King is facing one of his first strong challenges in years from Liuba Grechen Shirley. Grechen Shirley made national headlines before she won her primary when she successfully advocated to use campaign funds for child care to help stay-at-home parents run for office.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 11

Dan Donovan (incumbent) vs. Max Rose

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Dan Donovan and Max Rose
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Dan Donovan and Max Rose
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Dan Donovan and Max Rose
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Dan Donovan and Max Rose
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Max Rose for Congress

City & State rating: Leans Republican

Since beating former Rep. Michael Grimm in a contested GOP primary, Rep. Dan Donovan is now facing Democrat Max Rose, an Army veteran who aims to flip New York City’s lone Republican House district. In Rose’s first television ad, he attacked New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio more than his own rival, asserting the mayor has ignored the needs of Staten Island.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 18

Sean Patrick Maloney (incumbent) vs. James O’Donnell

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Sean Patrick Maloney and James O'Donnell
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Sean Patrick Maloney and James O'Donnell
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Sean Patrick Maloney and James O'Donnell
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Sean Patrick Maloney and James O'Donnell
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; James O'Donnell for Congress

City & State rating: Likely Democrat

Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney represents a swing district that voted for Trump in 2016, so his seat was considered in play by some. His decision to run for state attorney general after Eric Schneiderman resigned raised questions about his congressional bid, including from his Republican challenger, James O’Donnell.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 19

John Faso (incumbent) vs. Antonio Delgado

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John Faso and Antonio Delgado
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John Faso and Antonio Delgado
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John Faso and Antonio Delgado
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John Faso and Antonio Delgado
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Antonio Delgado for Congress

City & State rating: Toss-up

A Siena College poll on Oct. 22 showed Republican Rep. John Faso leading Democratic challenger Antonio Delgado 44 percent to 43 percent. Faso has taken aim at Delgado over his past as a rapper, while the contest has been identified by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee as one of its top-tier races, and Delgado added to the DCCC’s Red to Blue list.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 21

Elise Stefanik (incumbent) vs. Tedra Cobb

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Elise Stefanik and Tedra Cobb
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Elise Stefanik and Tedra Cobb
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Elise Stefanik and Tedra Cobb
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Elise Stefanik and Tedra Cobb
Image Credit: 
Photos courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Tedra Cobb for Congress

City & State rating: Likely Republican

Democrat Tedra Cobb had an impressive third-quarter fundraising haul, and Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik appears to be taking the challenge seriously. Yet Cobb still faces long odds in the heavily Republican district, where Stefanik has dominated the fundraising.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 22

Claudia Tenney (incumbent) vs. Anthony Brindisi

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Claudia Tenney and Anthony Brindisi
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Claudia Tenney and Anthony Brindisi
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Claudia Tenney and Anthony Brindisi
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Claudia Tenney and Anthony Brindisi
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Anthony Brindisi for Congress

City & State rating: Toss-up

Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney is fending off a strong challenge from Democratic Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi, with Brindisi leading 46 percent to 45 percent in an Oct. 24 poll from Siena College. Tenney benefits from a large voter registration advantage by Republicans in the district, and President Donald Trump won the district in 2016 with 55 percent. Brindisi is a more moderate Democrat, saying he would not support Rep. Nancy Pelosi for House speaker.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 23

Tom Reed (incumbent) vs. Tracy Mitrano

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Tom Reed and Tracy Mitrano
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Tom Reed and Tracy Mitrano
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Tom Reed and Tracy Mitrano
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Tom Reed and Tracy Mitrano
Image Credit: 
Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Tracy Mitrano for Congress

City & State rating: Likely Republican

Republican Rep. Tom Reed is in a good position going into the November election – his district went strongly for Trump in 2016 and he has reached across the aisle to work with Democrats. Reed has raised plenty of money, with over $2.5 million already spent and about $929,000 still on hand. He far outpaces Democrat Tracy Mitrano, who nonetheless saw some impressive

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 24

John Katko (incumbent) vs. Dana Balter

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John Katko and Dana Balter
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John Katko and Dana Balter
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John Katko and Dana Balter
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John Katko and Dana Balter
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Dana Balter for Congress

City & State rating: Leans Republican

Polling shows Republican Rep. John Katko with a comfortable lead over Democrat Dana Balter. An Oct. 28 Spectrum News/Syracuse.com/Siena College poll has him up 53 percent to 39 percent. The district has a slight Democratic voter registration advantage, and it went for Hillary Clinton by a thin margin in 2016.

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 27

Chris Collins (incumbent) vs. Nate McMurray

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Chris Collins and Nate McMurray
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Chris Collins and Nate McMurray
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Chris Collins and Nate McMurray
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Chris Collins and Nate McMurray
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Photo courtesy U.S. House of Representatives; Nate McMurray for Congress

City & State rating: Leans Republican

Rep. Chris Collins, who represents the most Republican district in the state, was the first member of Congress to endorse Donald Trump and has since aligned himself with the president 99 percent of the time. He was expected to easily win re-election, but that all changed when Collins was indicted on federal insider trading charges, improving the odds of Democratic challenger Nate McMurray.

City & State
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