The way things are trending, election night is looking very good for the Democratic Party. The polls are moving in the party’s favor in a number of swing seats nationwide. The ratings experts have continued to shift races to the left. Democratic candidates are feeling good and optimism is running high among the party faithful. But we’ve seen this film before.
Remember Hillary Clinton’s party at the Javits Center in 2016? Remember J. Ann Selzer’s Iowa poll in 2024 that missed by 16 percentage points? The prognosticators have been wrong before. But regardless of whether the polls are right, it’ll be an exciting night in New York with the governor up for reelection, swing House seats up for grabs and a Democratic supermajority at stake in the state Senate. Follow along with City & State’s live blog on Election Day as we cover what’s happening at the polls, and our reporters will be fanned out across the state providing updates about the most consequential results on election night.
9:07 - Blakeman predicts a narrow victory
After voting, Bruce Blakeman predicts a 4-point victory for himself over Gov. Hochul, 52%-48%
— Rebecca C. Lewis (@_rebeccaclewis) November 3, 2026
Republican gubernatorial candidate and Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman cast a vote for himself this morning at his poll site in the Village of Atlantic Beach. He predicted he would beat his opponent, Gov. Kathy Hochul, by 4 percentage points. The latest public polls have all shown Hochul ahead by a double-digit margin. – Rebecca C. Lewis
8:32 a.m. – A dull morning in Manhattan
Five months ago, volunteers for Jack Schlossberg, Alex Bores and Micah Lasher battled for curb space outside a popular poll site at P.S. 75 on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, making a last pitch to voters in their competitive Democratic congressional primary. Assembly candidate Eli Northrup pitched up at a bodega across the street, and Bores and Lasher themselves took turns doing media hits nearby soon after.
Today, that corner of West 95th Street and West End Avenue played host to a poll site bake sale and interviews for “The Daily Show” with correspondent Grace Kuhlenschmidt.
This UWS corner was one of the busiest of the headline-grabbing NY-12 primary. Campaigns battled for curb space. Now it’s hosting a pollsite bake sale and a Daily Show standup. One q I overheard: Who will be the next James Bond? https://t.co/vqFgCLfnco
— Annie McDonough (@Annie_McDonough) November 3, 2026
Attention, to say the least, is elsewhere this Election Day.
Lasher, now the Democratic nominee for the congressional district facing a long-shot Republican challenger, didn’t have any Upper West Side visibility planned for the morning. (Though he has been out and about campaigning for Gov. Kathy Hochul.)
Voters, meanwhile, still streamed into the polls, with one poll worker at P.S. 75 noting how busy they’d been this morning. – Annie McDonough
8:30 a.m. – Scanners are down in Westchester
It’s an Election Day nightmare for Westchester County – the machines that scan completed ballots are down across the county, according to reports from across the suburban county.
Voters are still marking paper ballots as usual, but they’re not getting instantly counted, like usual – which could mean delayed results in this portion of the closely watched 17th Congressional District race between GOP Rep. Mike Lawler and Democratic challenger Cait Conley.
“Every ballot will be counted. Stay on line and vote. Do not leave the polling place without voting,” Lawler posted on X.
State Attorney General Letitia James, whose office monitors elections in New York, also said she was monitoring the issue. The Westchester County Board of Elections didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
Westchester has more Democratic voters than other parts of the 17th District – something to keep in mind if results are posted unevenly tonight, after the polls close at 9 p.m. – Jeff Coltin
Nov. 1 – Hochul, AOC and Mamdani walk into a bar
On the final day of early voting before Election Day, Gov. Kathy Hochul opted for familiar territory: watching the Buffalo Bills game, and hitting diners in deep-blue neighborhoods. But there was a brand new twist – Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez joined her on the campaign trail for the first time this cycle. Meanwhile, Hochul’s Republican opponent, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, spent the day outside the five boroughs in a statewide blitz ending with a rally in the Capital Region. Read more here.
– Rebecca C. Lewis, Kate Lisa and Jeff Coltin
Oct. 26 – State legislative general election races to watch
Unlike during primary season in New York, when many hot state legislative contests are in New York City or elsewhere downstate, the most tightly contested races in November are taking place in many different areas of the state. And those races come with a variety of dynamics, be it varying demographics or stronger coattails from the top of the ticket. With Republicans unlikely to gain a majority in either chamber anytime soon, a lot of the intrigue in this year’s races is about where Democrats can make inroads in an expected “blue wave” election – and whether they can once again secure a supermajority in the state Senate. Here are the state legislative races we’ll be keeping an eye on. Read more here.
– Rebecca C. Lewis, Kate Lisa and Sahalie Donaldson
Oct. 19 – Why did Bruce Blakeman go 100% MAGA?
Once a prototypical Long Island Republican moderate, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman has leaned into his closeness to Donald Trump in recent years, modeling his political style after the combative president. Blakeman has taken lessons from Trump’s bombastic rhetorical style and become a leading conservative figure on culture war issues and public safety, creating what has been criticized as an armed civilian militia and agreeing to establish a first-in-the-nation ban on trans women athletes competing on women’s teams at county facilities. Read more here.
– Rebecca C. Lewis
Oct. 19 – Congressional general election races to watch
Could 2026 be another “blue wave”? The answer could very well be found in New York. From the wealthiest enclaves of Long Island to the remote reaches of Northern New York, control of the House of Representatives will likely come down to a couple dozen battleground districts, including a few in the Empire State. That includes some of the tightest toss-ups, such as Republican Rep. Mike Lawler’s precarious bid to hold onto his Lower Hudson Valley seat, and Democrats’ attempts to do the same in a couple of mercurial Long Island districts. But if there are common themes to these competitive seats – the Trump factor, the copious outside spending, a steady stream of opposition research – they each hold their own eccentricities and colorful characters. City & State broke down everything you need to know about the most competitive congressional general election races in New York. Read more here.

